Glossary
Epidemiology Terms
- Basic Reproductive Number:
In a fully susceptible population, the basic reproductive number R0 is the number of secondary infections
generated by the first infectious individual over the course of the infectious period.
- Compartmental Model: A rule-based disease model that divides the total population into a number of compartments
that represent different disease states, such as susceptible, infected, recovered or vaccinated.
- Herd Immunity Threshold: The minimum proportion of a population that needs to be immune to an infectious disease
to prevent sustained spread within that population.
- Incidence: The number of new cases of a disease that occur during a specified period of time in a population at risk
for developing the disease.
- Intervention: An intervention is an action or strategy implemented to alter the course of events within a system,
typically aimed at achieving a specific desired outcome. In epidemiological models, interventions might include public health measures
such as vaccination, social distancing, quarantine, or treatment protocols. Interventions are tested within the model to evaluate their
effectiveness in controlling or mitigating the spread of a disease, reducing morbidity and mortality, or preventing outbreaks.
- Patch Simulation Model: PatchSim model is an epidemiological framework used to represent the spread of infectious
diseases across multiple, distinct geographical areas or "patches." Each patch has its own population and disease dynamics, but patches
are interconnected through movement or migration of individuals between them. This model allows for the simulation of localized outbreaks,
the effects of regional interventions, and the spread of disease through travel or other forms of connectivity between patches.
It is particularly useful for studying diseases in heterogeneous environments and for evaluating the impact of spatially targeted
control strategies.
- Prevalence: The total number of cases of a disease in a given population at a specific time. It is different from incidence,
which measures new cases over a period.
- Scenario: A scenario refers to a specific set of assumptions, conditions, and parameters used to explore and analyse
potential future outcomes or behaviours of a system. Scenarios are designed to represent different possible realities or situations,
often to evaluate the impact of various factors or decisions. In epidemiological modelling, scenarios might include different rates of
disease transmission, varying levels of population immunity, or changes in behaviour patterns. Scenarios help researchers and policymakers
understand the potential consequences of different actions and prepare for a range of possible futures.
- SIR Model: A generic epidemiological model that provides a simplified means of describing the transmission of an
infectious disease through individuals where those individuals can pass through the following five states: susceptible, infectious, and recovered.
- SIRS Model: The SIRS model is an extension of the SIR model that includes the possibility of immunity waning over time.
In this model, individuals can move from the Recovered state back to the Susceptible state, reflecting the loss of immunity and potential
for reinfection.
- SIRSV Model: The SIRSV model is an extension of the SIRS model that incorporates the possibility of vaccination.
In this model, individuals can move through the states of Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered, and Susceptible again (due to waning immunity),
with an additional Vaccinated state. Vaccinated individuals are assumed to have partial or full immunity, reducing their likelihood of
moving to the Infectious state. This model reflects both natural and vaccine-induced immunity dynamics, including waning immunity and reinfection.
- Susceptible: An individual who is able to become infected.
FMD Terms
- Antibody: An antibody is a protein produced by the immune system in response to a specific antigen,
designed to recognise and help neutralise or destroy that particular antigen. Antibodies are found in serum,
which is the liquid portion of blood after it has clotted and blood cells have been removed.
- Antigen: An antigen is a substance (usually a protein or polysaccharide) that stimulates an immune response
in the body, typically by triggering the production of antibodies.
- DIVA: DIVA (Differentiating Infected from Vaccinated Animals) is a diagnostic approach using NSP-ELISA
that allows distinction between animals infected with foot-and-mouth disease virus and those that have only been vaccinated,
based on the presence of antibodies to non-structural proteins (NSPs) of the virus.
- Immunity Waning: Gradual decrease in protective immune response over time following vaccination or natural infection,
potentially leaving an individual susceptible to reinfection or disease.
- Non-Structural Proteins: Proteins produced by the virus during its replication cycle that are not part of the final
virus particle structure, but are essential for viral replication and other functions within the host cell.
- Seromonitoring: Seromonitoring in the context of the FMD Control Programme involves collecting and analysing pre- and post-vaccination
blood samples from randomly selected animals to assess the efficacy of both the vaccine and the vaccination program.
- Seroprotection: Seroprotection is the percentage of individuals in a population with antibody titres above a defined threshold
(≥1.65 log10 at 35 percent inhibition). It indicates the proportion of the population that has sufficient immunity to prevent infection,
reflecting the overall effectiveness of vaccination or previous exposure at the herd level.
- Serosurveillance: Serosurveillance in terms of DIVA is the systematic monitoring of antibodies against FMD virus
structural and non-structural proteins in animal populations, using blood serum samples. It allows differentiation between vaccinated
and infected animals, helping to assess and detect potential virus circulation in a population.
- Serotype: A distinct variation within a species of virus characterised by having a specific set of antigens.
There are seven serotypes of the foot-and-mouth disease virus: O, A, C, SAT 1, SAT 2, SAT 3, and Asia 1.
- Serum: Serum is the clear, yellowish fluid component of blood that remains after clotting, containing various proteins,
antibodies, and other substances, but excluding blood cells and clotting factors.
- Structural Proteins: Proteins that form the physical structure of the virus particle, including the viral capsid,
which encases and protects the viral genetic material.
System Terms
- GeoJSON File: A GeoJSON file is a widely used format for encoding a variety of geographic data structures
using JavaScript Object Notation (JSON). It is designed to represent simple geographical features, along with their non-spatial attributes.
GeoJSON supports several geometry types, such as points, lines, and polygons, and can be used to describe the shape and properties of
various geographical entities, including cities, roads, and country borders.
- Model: A model is an abstract description of a system that uses precise language to describe its behaviour or inter-relationships.
- Network: A network is a collection of interconnected nodes and edges that represent relationships, interactions, or
pathways between entities. Networks are used to model a wide range of systems across various fields, including epidemiology, social science,
computer science, and biology.
- Node: A node is a fundamental unit or point within a network or graph that represents an entity or a location.
In epidemiological models, nodes can represent individuals, households, or geographical locations such as cities or regions.
Nodes are connected by edges or links, which signify interactions, movements, or relationships between the nodes.
- Ordinary Differential Equations (ODE): An ordinary differential equation (ODE) is a mathematical equation that relates a
function to its derivatives. It involves one or more functions of a single independent variable and their derivatives. ODEs are used to
describe the behaviour of dynamic systems, where the rate of change of a variable is dependent on the variable itself. In epidemiological
modelling, ODEs are commonly used to model the spread of infectious diseases by representing the changes in populations of susceptible,
infected, and recovered individuals over time.
- Simulation Time: Simulation time refers to the discrete or continuous representation of time within a simulation model.
It serves as the timeline over which the model's processes and events are executed and observed.
- Timescale Parameter: A timescale parameter in a model quantifies the rate of temporal change for specific processes or dynamics
within the system. It determines the duration over which changes occur, such as the rate of disease progression or recovery,
and is essential for accurately representing and predicting system behaviour.